The Senate's compromise to end the partial government shutdown cleared the House Rules Committee on Monday night, setting up a floor vote on Tuesday after President Trump personally intervened to quell a conservative rebellion.
At least four House Republicans had threatened to tank the procedural vote over the exclusion of the SAVE America Act, which would require proof of citizenship in the voter registration process. Trump posted on Truth Social earlier Monday with a clear directive:
"NO CHANGES"
The message landed. By Monday night, the rebellion had collapsed.
Rep. Anna Paulina Luna of Florida had been leading the group of conservatives threatening to block the rule vote. She changed her position after receiving assurances from the White House that Senate Majority Leader John Thune would force a vote on the voter ID legislation.
Luna, according to Fox News, told reporters Monday night:
"As of right now, with the current agreement that we have, as well as discussions, we will both be a yes on the rule."
She explained the path forward for the SAVE America Act:
"There is something called a standing filibuster that would effectively allow Senator Thune to put voter ID on the floor of the Senate. We are hearing that that is going well and he is considering that…so we are very happy about that."
Rep. Tim Burchett of Tennessee also flipped his position after the White House outreach.
Speaker Mike Johnson can only afford to lose one Republican vote for the funding deal to survive the chamber-wide rule vote. House votes typically fall along partisan lines, and House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries has told Johnson not to rely on Democratic support.
That's a significant development. Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer negotiated the compromise with Trump's White House. But Jeffries refuses to help pass it in the House. The top two Democrats in Congress are sharply divided on the same bill.
Johnson needs virtually every Republican in lockstep. With Luna and Burchett now on board, the margin improves—but whether other conservative holdouts have been persuaded remains unclear.
The current partial shutdown is now in its third day. It affects roughly 78% of the federal government after Congress failed to send the remaining spending bills to the president's desk by the January 30 deadline.
House lawmakers had passed an initial set of bipartisan bills to fund the government through the end of fiscal year 2026, which runs until September 30. But Senate Democrats walked away from that deal in protest over funding for the Department of Homeland Security.
The standoff traces back to Minneapolis, where federal law enforcement has been conducting immigration enforcement operations. Two U.S. citizens were shot and killed during anti-ICE demonstrations there. Democrats are now demanding judicial warrants to restrict agents even further.
Trump responded by removing Customs and Border Protection from Minneapolis and replacing senior officials leading operations in the city.
The compromise funds the agencies caught up in the political standoff:
For DHS, the deal simply extends current spending levels for two weeks. That window is meant to give lawmakers time for additional bipartisan negotiations on a longer-term arrangement.
The Senate passed this compromise on Friday. The House Rules Committee advanced it Monday night with little internal discord among Republicans on the panel.
Nearly 14,000 air traffic controllers are expected to work without pay during the shutdown. Military members could miss paychecks if the situation drags on. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention faces limits on communicating public health updates to Americans.
These are real consequences affecting real people—federal workers who had nothing to do with the political fight over immigration enforcement in Minneapolis.
The floor vote on Tuesday will determine whether the shutdown ends or continues. The rule vote comes first—a procedural hurdle that needs a simple majority to unlock debate and a final passage vote.
Trump made his position clear. Luna and Burchett responded. The question now is whether Johnson has the votes from the rest of his conference.
One defection is the margin. In a House where Republicans hold a razor-thin majority and Democrats have declared they won't help, that margin leaves no room for error.
The president stepped in to hold his party together. Tuesday will show whether it worked.